Included in a new batch of John Podesta emails released by Wikileaks on October 23 is a 2008 correspondence between Tom Matzzie, a Democratic campaign operative, and analysts from Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, a political research agency. The email, sent by Matzzie, has a document attached that outlines the state-by-state strategy developed in 2008 and currently being employed by polling agencies to oversample Democrats, undersample Republicans, and skew the polls in favor of Hillary Clinton ahead of the November 8 election.
“Hey Guys, See attached from Atlas,” the first email reads. The Atlas Project, which Matzzie is referring to, “provides an interactive platform for political research and data that helps the progressive community make smart, effective, and cost-efficient decisions on electoral and issue advocacy campaigns,” with the mission of “[arming] campaigns and progressive organizations with the insight, analysis and tools to help avoid costly missteps and make better strategic decisions.”
The attachment being referred to is the “Selected Polling & Media Recommendations” report, which describes in intimate detail the polling strategies that can be used to manipulate results, down to the individual state levels.
Nationally, the concerns espoused by Donald Trump about the election being “rigged” have been mocked by the media and called “horrifying” by Clinton (who incidentally also believes that Russia is “interfering” in the election.)
The concerns about poll-rigging have been widely reported. Earlier on October 23, a new poll showing Trump down by 12 was released by ABC. ZeroHedge was quick to spot a flaw in the poll’s methodology reporting- while ABC reported how each candidate polled among certain demographics (whites, blacks, men, women, etc.), they did not disclose how many of each were included in the final poll. Without knowing this, the poll might as well be disregarded as irrelevant, unscientific, and fictitious- or, in other words, rigged.
An equally rigged Quinnipiac University poll from October 19 that found Clinton leading by 7% also coincidentally failed to release its demographics as part of its methodology section. It did, however, reveal that it included three questions about Trump’s “sexual assault” tape, and zero questions- not a single one- about the constant stream of information regarding Clinton’s dealings with foreign governments, voter fraud, and comments regarding Catholics, which are being made via Wikileaks and Project Veritas.
This rigging of the polls has not occurred by accident.
“I want to get this all compiled into one set of recommendations so we can maximize what we get out of our media polling,” Matzzie wrote in the 2008 email.
There has been much ado in the media about the possibility that Arizona may be a swing state in 2016. Arizona, which has historically been a safe red state, is polling at Clinton +1.5% at press time, per the RealClearPolitics average. How did this happen?
The Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News poll that found Clinton ahead by 5% sampled 811 voters from across the state. According to the Arizona Secretary of State, as cited in the methodology of the poll, registration “among parties is about 35 percent, Republican, 30 percent Democrat, and the rest with other parties or with no party preference.”
Directly after stating this, in table A5 of the poll’s methodology, the following is revealed: the poll sampled 57% Democrats, 23.6% Republicans, and only 19.4% independents.
It should be no surprise that Clinton will be ahead when there are almost twice as many Democrats polled than there actually are in the state.
Independents- who are breaking hard for Trump, according to most polling, are also undersampled by a factor of nearly 2:1 (their actual ~35% to 19.4%).
This rigging of the polls is not by accident- in fact, the leaked emails reveal that “oversamples” would be key to “maximize what [they] get out of [their] media polling,” and given the lengths and statistical grasping at straws the media has gone to in Arizona, there should be no cause for concern there for Republicans.
It’s not just Arizona
The state of Ohio has been favorable to Donald Trump so far in the polls this election cycle- at press time, the Republican nominee holds a +0.4% lead per RCP. Trump’s success in the state has been driven by his promise to rebuild the state’s manufacturing prowess and bring jobs back to the community. Ohio is a key state for Trump to win if he wants to take the presidency, so a Clinton win in the Buckeye state would almost assure her campaign a victory.
The latest poll to find Clinton ahead in the state sampled 37.2% Democrats and 31.3% Republicans. It also sampled 77.8% whites, in a state that is 82.7% white. Nationally, white voters are breaking 54.3% for Trump compared to 34.1% for Clinton, per the LA Times/USC tracking poll.
Polling in North Carolina, another battleground state, has been subject to Democratic oversampling as well. Despite approximately 39% of the state’s voters being registered Democrats, the most recent polling in the state sampled 42% Democrats and only 25% independents- despite them making up almost 30% of the state’s voting population, and breaking sharply for Trump. These numbers may not sound like a lot, but in a state that may be separated by less than 1%, every vote counts.
A deeper reading of the Atlas document reveals issues where the progressive consultants knew Republicans had the upper hand- immigration, for example, is described as a “key wedge issue” in New Hampshire. New Mexico is described as having a “truly swing nature,” and voters in Pennsylvania were identified as having “problems with bureaucratic red tape and a lack of ingenuity from government.”
Clinton has often used the phrase “invest in you” in her rallies and speeches, and that messaging has been intentional. On page 26 of the leaked Atlas report, it is revealed that Democrats are attempting to copy messaging used by Ohio senator Ted Strickland- including his phrases like “investing in the things that matter.”
The report continued, stressing that the “principal challenge” for Democrats will be to “imbue candidates up and down the ticket with the same identity of being for the middle class and ordinary people.”
Trump is right: the polls are rigged
When Trump complains that the media is rigging the election, he’s right: these emails from Wikileaks reveal that the oversampling of the anti-Trump vote is congruent with a strategy developed by progressive research firms to inflate poll numbers for Democrats and suppress numbers for Republicans.
The media- literally, in some cases, the same media that rigs the polls against Trump and his supporters- is coming out and condemning Trump for suggesting that they are rigging the election.
As the election draws to a close, the media will have two choices: poll the race accurately, or continue to act as Clinton campaign surrogates and report that the election is already over.
This is not the first time the media has colluded in an attempt to rig an election in favor of the globalists: earlier in 2016, the morning Britons headed to the polls to vote on “Brexit”, a shock poll was released showing the “Remain” campaign with a 10% advantage. The results, however, told a different story, as Brexit passed by a decisive 4%.
Trump has repeatedly referred to his candidacy as America’s Brexit movement– and judging by which the lengths the media is going to rig the polls against him, he may very well be right.